Wheat Comes Out as Winner of USDA's Sept. 30 Reports

After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Sep 30, 2020Wheat closes over 5% higher after USDA report+2.5%
• Jul 12, 2018Corn, Wheat Get Help From USDA Report+3.8%
• Oct 1, 2021USDA Stocks Report: Don’t sleep on wheat usage+5.1%
• Dec 8, 2023Wheat, corn and soybean highlights of USDA’s December WASDE report | The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO-4.0%
• Jun 12, 2018U.S. grains: Wheat surges after USDA cuts Russian output estimate - Grainews-0.9%

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Mar 31, 2025USDA reports mixed grain stocks, with wheat up and corn down+0.4%
• Oct 13, 2023What Was So Bullish About the October USDA Reports? - AgWeb+0.2%
• Jul 12, 2018Corn, Wheat Get Help From USDA Report+2.9%
• Oct 18, 2021Wheat prices rose sharply after the release of the October USDA report+1.5%
• Sep 30, 2019Column: Some items to keep in mind ahead of USDA's stocks, wheat report - Braun-0.9%

After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.

• Apr 12, 2023USDA Reports Confirm the Tight U.S. Wheat Balance Sheet+1.5%
• Oct 1, 2021USDA Stocks Report: Don’t sleep on wheat usage+1.3%
• Jun 12, 2018U.S. grains: Wheat surges after USDA cuts Russian output estimate - Grainews-6.6%
• Jun 10, 2020Commercial U.S. Wheat Export Sales Top USDA Estimate - U.S. Wheat Associates-4.3%
• Jun 30, 2026Wheat Rallies on Bull Friendly USDA Report Data+6.6%