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Wheat and corn prices rose after the September WASDE, with wheat gaining over 2% on reduced Russian export prospects due to frost and weather problems at harvest. Soybeans sold off after an initial upside reaction.
Lower Russian wheat export expectations tighten global wheat supply, lifting feed wheat prices and competing feed grain values. Soybean weakness reflects the report's neutral-to-bearish soy balance.
tastylive.comThomas WestwaterSep 13, 2024After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Post-WASDE rally in wheat and corn, with Russian wheat export cuts spilling over into corn on feed-grain substitution, supported prices.
