
Corn and soybean futures rose after the WASDE report while wheat fell. Global 2018/19 wheat supplies were reduced on lower output forecasts for Australia and Russia, and corn production was forecast at 14.778 billion bushels.
Lower Australian and Russian wheat output supports wheat prices and can shift feed grain demand toward corn. Corn exports were raised on US price competitiveness.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Wheat fell after WASDE despite cuts to Australian and Russian supply, showing a mixed supply-side impact within the window.