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USDA's February supply and demand report had no major surprises but a slightly bearish tone because of a lower-than-expected U.S. corn export estimate. Corn ending stocks were cut 50 million bushels to 1.502 billion, still about 100 million above trade expectations.
Soybean ending stocks of 120 million bushels were in line with analysts' projections.
Corn and wheat futures closed lower on the export surprise, while soybeans rose on tighter stocks. Feed buyers should expect firm soybean meal support and softer corn values.
realagriculture.comKelvin HeppnerFeb 9, 2021After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
