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Futures markets viewed the Thursday USDA report as bearish, with soybean yield at 49.4 bushels per acre against pre-report estimates near 47.5 and corn at 169.5 bushels. USDA raised 2017/18 soybean ending stocks to 475 million bushels and trimmed corn stocks to 370 million, while Conab and SovEcon raised Brazilian soybean and Russian grain estimates.
Higher U.S. soybean carryout and larger Brazilian and Russian crops add supply, pressuring soybean and wheat prices.
2agriculture.comVictoria MillsAug 11, 2017After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
