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Rabobank's 2022 outlook covers 12 agricultural commodity markets and cites rising biodiesel and ethanol demand pressuring soyoil and corn supplies. It flags drought in the US Plains and La Niña in South America as yield risks.
Input cost inflation, especially fertilizer, is also highlighted.
Biofuel-driven demand supports soyoil and corn prices, while fertilizer costs squeeze grower margins and future acreage. The outlook suggests firm feed input prices through 2022.
ukragroconsult.comJan 11, 2022After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
