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A USDA Foreign Agricultural Service report says global fertilizer prices are near record levels and may stay elevated through 2022 and beyond. It notes fertilizer is 36% of corn operating costs and 35% of wheat costs, and that Russia's invasion of Ukraine has tightened supply and triggered trade restrictions.
Higher nitrogen, phosphate and potash costs raise feed-grain production costs and could cut acreage or yields in 2023, supporting corn and wheat prices over the longer term.
fas.usda.govJun 30, 2022After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 66 past bullish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.7%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
