DDG and wheat midds rose on CME grain gains, with wheat hitting limit up three days in a row. Buyers reported a standstill on forward DDG trades and tight eastern offer levels amid volatility, while no trade flowed out of Ukraine and Russia.
Ukraine and Russia trade disruption keeps wheat and corn firm, lifting DDG and midds values for feed buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 34 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +3.5%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Grain gains continued into Mar 3 with wheat limit-up three days running and no trade out of Ukraine or Russia, spilling over to corn and feed.