Loading…
Wheat futures surged 17 to 23 cents on February 14, 2025, as Russia bombed a Ukrainian port and cold weather raised winter kill concerns in US production areas. Speculative fund short covering added to the rally, and wheat outperformed corn in recent weeks.
Black Sea conflict and winter-kill risk support wheat prices. Feed buyers face higher wheat costs, though corn remains the cheaper energy feed.
agweb.comMichelle RookFeb 14, 2025After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 94 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.8%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 31 past neutral geopolitics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
