Canola and European rapeseed fell on May 26 as crude oil dropped sharply on Middle East diplomacy. ICE July canola lost C$14 to C$736.20, and August Euronext rapeseed fell €11.25 to €515.25.
Soybean meal gained modestly on export sales.
Lower crude weakens biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils, pushing canola and rapeseed prices down.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 34 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +3.5%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Notes crude dropped sharply on Middle East diplomacy on May 26, confirming continued selling pressure, though its main content is oilseed spillover.