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Oil benchmarks fell more than 3% on May 6 as traders weighed an Axios report of a one-page US-Iran memorandum to end the war, along with profit-taking ahead of the weekend. Brent was around $110.29 and WTI near $102.27 in early Asian trade, with Murban, gasoline and natural gas also lower.
The deal headline lowers the geopolitical premium on crude, which feeds through to diesel and freight costs for feed. Nothing has been agreed yet, so prices could reverse if talks stall.
gulfnews.comJay HilotinMay 5, 2026After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 15 past bearish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -9.2% to +2.4%), and +4.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
