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Brent crude, silver and wheat prices dropped as hopes grew for a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel. Brent approached resistance near 75 before falling back toward the mid-October low.
US wheat also slipped to a three-month low.
Easing Middle East tensions reduce the geopolitical risk premium in energy and can weaken the broader commodity complex, including wheat.
ig.comAxel RudolphNov 26, 2024After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
