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Oil and gas prices fell sharply on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump said the war in Iran was "very complete, pretty much." Crude had nearly reached $120 a barrel on Monday over fears of prolonged disruption to Middle East energy supplies, then dropped below $90. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly halted since the war began.
Energy price swings feed directly into costs for fuel, fertilizer and freight, which affect feed production margins. The Hormuz disruption threatens global supply, so prices could rebound quickly if the strait stays blocked.
bbc.co.ukPeter Hoskins, Nick EdserMar 10, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 15 past bearish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -9.2% to +2.4%), and +4.7% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Trump calling the war 'very complete' sent crude from near $120 to below $90, driving the sharp drop.
Oil fell on March 10 after Trump said the war was nearly complete, a sentiment-driven dip within the window that shaped the path of the weekly move.
