
Crude oil futures traded lower on September 19, 2025, with Brent near $67.29 and WTI near $63.37 after Trump said the US would help secure peace once the Russia-Ukraine war ends. Recent US distillate stockpile data also weighed on prices.
Lower crude and diesel prices reduce biofuel and freight costs and modestly weaken the energy-linked support for vegetable oils and feed ingredients.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.