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Oil fell below $70 for WTI and Brent settled near $72 as more tankers exited the Strait of Hormuz. An attack on a cargo ship near Oman was reported, and Iran and the US disagreed over the use of funds listed in the memorandum of understanding.
Supply recovery through Hormuz is pushing crude lower, which eases diesel and fertilizer costs for feed producers. The ship attack adds some geopolitical risk, but it did not reverse the decline.
cnbc.comJustina Lee, Sam MeredithJul 1, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
