
Brent and WTI crude futures traded lower on March 27 after the US extended by 10 days, to April 6, the deadline for Iran to reach a peace deal. Trump said talks were ongoing and paused strikes on energy plants during that period.
A delay in escalation reduces the near-term risk of further Gulf supply disruption, easing crude prices and the energy-linked cost pressure on feed ingredients, freight and fertilizer. Prices remain elevated, so the move is partial.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.