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European natural gas futures closed 7.8% lower after Russia, the top supplier, tried to reassure buyers that they can keep paying for gas without breaching sanctions. A letter seen by Bloomberg backed this assurance, and power prices also fell.
Easing fears of a payment-driven supply cutoff lowers the risk premium on gas. Cheaper gas lowers nitrogen fertilizer and grain drying costs for feed producers.
bloomberg.comBloomberg NewsMay 9, 2022After 15 past bearish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -9.2% to +2.4%), and +4.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 2022-05-09 European gas fell 7.8% after Russia reassured buyers they could pay for gas without breaching sanctions, easing supply-risk sentiment that had supported US natgas via LNG linkage.
