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Iowa Farm Bureau reports that Argentina's drought has flipped soybean oil and soybean meal relative values again, with meal prices rising while soybean oil has weakened over recent months. Argentina reportedly imports Brazilian soybeans to keep its crushers running.
Palm and canola oil are cheaper substitutes for soybean oil in world markets.
Tighter Argentine meal supply supports soybean meal prices, which matter most to feed costs, while weaker soybean oil pressures crush margins. Buyers should expect meal to stay firm relative to oil.
iowafarmbureau.comIowa Farm BureauMar 1, 2023After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
