
Russia's sunflower crop for MY 2026/27 could reach 19.1 to 21 million tons, up 15 to 20 percent year on year. Seed, oil and meal prices in southern Russia have fallen sharply from their July peaks, with seed down roughly 57 to 59 percent.
A record crop combined with export duties that block shipments abroad creates a domestic surplus that pushes down sunflower seed, oil and meal prices in the global market.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 49 past bearish weather events, SBO moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.