
The Canadian dollar rose against most major currencies on Thursday after Canada's third-quarter GDP fell 1.1% annualized, which missed forecasts but was offset by upward revisions. OPEC+ agreed to further oil production cuts with no firm end date, lifting crude prices.
OPEC+ supply cuts push crude higher, which supports Canadian export revenue and strengthens the loonie. Higher crude also raises diesel and freight costs for feed producers.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.