Loading…
Chicago SRW wheat futures fell 9.5 to 11.25 cents as the US dollar index rose and rain forecasts emerged for the southern Plains and eastern US. Russia's 2025/26 wheat area is expected to drop to 15.4 million hectares, the lowest since 2018/19, and Argentina's wheat forecast was cut to 18.8 million tonnes.
A stronger dollar weakens US export competitiveness, while the lower Russian and Argentine acreage and crop outlook supports wheat prices over the longer term.
zmp.deNov 14, 2024After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 13 past bearish macro events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.1%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
