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Wheat futures fell about 3% in US trade, reaching their lowest in several sessions as the dollar index hit a 2018 high. Traders priced in improved US weather and rainfall forecasts, and USDA reported weekly wheat sales of 234.8 thousand tonnes with Mexico the top buyer.
A stronger dollar makes US wheat less competitive in export markets and, combined with better weather, pressures wheat prices lower.
economies.comRami HaddadMay 7, 2018After 69 past bearish macro events, WHEAT moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the ~3% wheat drop on 2018-05-07 as the dollar hit a 2018 high and US weather and rainfall forecasts improved, which hurts export competitiveness and eases crop concerns.
