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Barclays' 2019 outlook expects the US dollar to remain the dominant currency as the Federal Reserve keeps raising rates. It expects sterling to remain weighed down by Brexit uncertainty and the euro to hit new lows as the ECB outlook darkens.
A forecast of continued dollar strength would raise the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed ingredients in Europe and other non-dollar markets. It is a forecast rather than a new market event, so the impact is modest.
poundsterlinglive.comJames SkinnerDec 11, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
