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Soybeans closed sharply lower on May 15 as soybean oil fell its 3-cent limit on rumors that the EPA sent a biomass diesel RVO of 4.65 billion gallons to the White House, below the 5.25 billion expected. Soymeal rose $4.40 per ton, and NOPA reported April crush of 190.2 million bushels, above estimates.
The lower RVO rumor reduces biodiesel demand for soybean oil and pressures soybeans, while strong crush supports meal supply tightness and firmer soymeal prices.
barchart.comAustin SchroederMay 15, 2025After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, SBM moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
