
July soybeans closed down 26.5 cents at $10.51¼ per bushel on May 15, 2025. Soybean oil fell limit down after reports that EPA may set the biomass-based diesel mandate below industry requests.
Corn and wheat finished higher.
Lower expected biofuel mandates reduce soybean oil demand and weaken the crush margin, pressuring soybean prices. Traders are reacting to unconfirmed rumors of the final volume.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.