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DTN analysis notes the USDA kept the US soybean crush at a record 2.49 billion bushels, supported by biofuel-driven soybean oil demand. Soybean meal prices have fallen to their lowest since March 2016 as record South American crush output pushes supplies higher, while soybean oil has reached its highest since October 2023.
Record crush and large meal supplies keep soybean meal cheap for feed users, while strong oil demand shifts crush economics toward oil.
dtnpf.comJoel KarlinJul 2, 2025After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
