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USDA raised its 2017/18 soybean crush estimate to 2.055 billion bushels and projected 2018/19 crush at 2.070 billion bushels. Soybean meal production was lifted by 400,000 tons, with biodiesel use of soybean oil projected at 7.8 billion pounds.
Higher crush expands soybean meal supply, which is bearish for meal prices, while strong biodiesel demand for oil supports soybean oil values. The revised balance sheet indicates ample processing supply for feed buyers.
mckeany-flavell.comBarbara BrodnitzSep 12, 2018After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
