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NOPA reported April soybean crush about 5% below average analyst expectations, though still above 2018 and 2019 levels and below last year's April record. Soybean meal exports fell to the lowest monthly volume since June 2019, while soybean oil stocks were notably lower year over year.
A softer crush reduces meal and oil output, which is bullish for meal prices and supportive for soybean oil given tight stocks. Lower meal exports leave more meal domestically for feed buyers.
mckeany-flavell.comBarbara BrodnitzMay 26, 2021After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
