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NOPA members reported crushing 160.8 million bushels of soybeans in September, up 18 percent year over year and slightly above August. Soybean oil production reached 1.85 billion pounds, up 1 percent from August and 15 percent from a year earlier, while oil stocks fell 6 percent from August.
USDA forecasts 2017/18 soybean oil ending stocks above 2.2 billion pounds.
Strong crush and oil output with ample projected ending stocks point to adequate soybean oil supply, which is bearish for soyoil and modestly bearish for soybean meal as crush continues steadily.
mckeany-flavell.comBarbara BrodnitzOct 19, 2018After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
