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NOPA reported June 2023 soybean crush above 165 million bushels, below analyst expectations and about 7% below May. Soybean oil stocks fell to 1.69 billion pounds, a seven-month low and about 4% below a year earlier.
Crop condition was 55% good to excellent versus 61% a year prior.
A crush shortfall and tight oil stocks reduce supply of both soyoil and meal, supporting prices for both products. The weaker-than-expected crush points to firmer near-term product values.
mckeany-flavell.comNicole ThomasJul 28, 2023After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
