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DTN reports that USDA's Outlook Forum projects US soybean ending stocks of 320 million bushels for 2025-26, below the pre-report average estimate of 380 million. USDA projected planted area of 84 million acres and a yield of 52.5 bushels per acre, which DTN notes is optimistic given recent yield trends.
Tighter-than-expected ending stocks support soybean prices, though the reliance on a high yield assumption creates downside risk if yields disappoint.
dtnpf.comMitch MillerFeb 27, 2025After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
