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USDA's quarterly Grain Stocks report showed old-crop corn stocks at 2.1 billion bushels, more than 300 million below the average trade guess, and soybean stocks at 913 million bushels, 69 million below expectations. All wheat stocks were 2.3 billion bushels, at the upper end of trade expectations.
Tighter corn and soybean stocks than expected support feed grain and soymeal prices going into the new crop year. Wheat stocks at the high end of expectations are a mild bearish factor for wheat used in feed.
rrfn.comCarah HartSep 30, 2019After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybean stocks 69M bu below trade guesses signaled tighter supply, driving the price jump.
