
USDA's Ag Outlook Forum projected soybean oil used in biofuel production rising to 17.3 billion pounds in 2026-27 from 14.8 billion in 2025-26 and 11.758 billion in 2024-25. Soybean oil had already rallied about 21.5% since early January.
A projected jump in biofuel feedstock use would tighten soybean oil supply and require higher soybean crush, supporting soybean oil and soybean prices, though the commentary warns of a possible correction.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.