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Brent rose about 6% to settle at $118.03 and WTI gained nearly 7% to $106.88 after Trump said the US would maintain its naval blockade of Iran until a nuclear deal is agreed. Negotiations have stalled, and Iran refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while the blockade continues.
Extended blockade and Hormuz closure sustain high crude and diesel prices, raising feed production and freight costs and supporting biofuel-linked vegetable oil demand.
cnbc.comSam Meredith, Spencer KimballApr 29, 2026After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
