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Oil prices jumped as much as 8% on Thursday after Trump vowed to hit Iran extremely hard in the coming weeks. Brent rose to $109.74 a barrel, and WTI climbed 11% to $111.60, its first close above $110 since March 9.
A sharp rise in crude prices raises energy, transport and fertilizer costs across the feed chain. The rally follows a war that is disrupting Gulf energy supply.
theguardian.comKalyeena MakortoffApr 2, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, DIESEL moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
