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Most Latin American assets fell on July 8 after U.S. President Donald Trump said the interim accord to end the war with Iran was over. Washington had revoked a license allowing Tehran to sell oil internationally after fresh U.S. strikes, and Trump said further strikes and a takeover of Kharg Island were likely.
Renewed Gulf conflict pushed crude up about 5% to a two-week high, raising diesel and fertilizer costs and feeding inflation worries in oil-importing economies. Higher energy costs typically support soyoil and biofuel-linked prices while weighing on risk sentiment and emerging-market currencies.
marketscreener.comReutersJul 8, 2026After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Trump declaring the Iran interim accord over, revoking Tehran's oil export license and threatening a Kharg Island takeover raised Gulf supply-risk premium, a plausible driver of a sharp WTI rally.
Trump declaring the Iran deal over and revoking Tehran's oil license raised crude and geopolitical risk, which supports soybean oil via energy links.
