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Oil prices surged as much as 29% on March 9 to their highest since mid-2022 before settling about 7% higher. Gold fell more than 1% as the escalating Iran war squeezed energy supplies, boosted the dollar and dampened hopes for interest-rate cuts.
Major Middle Eastern producers cut supplies over fears of prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption.
Supply cuts from major Middle Eastern producers tighten crude availability and lift energy costs, while a stronger dollar weighs on dollar-priced commodities and reduces rate-cut expectations.
reuters.comKarl Plume, Naveen ThukralApr 1, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
