
Brent rose to its highest level since October 2025 at $66.20 and WTI reached a near three-month high of $61.80, after a fifth straight session of gains. Citi raised its three-month Brent forecast to $70 a barrel, citing protests in Iran and rising geopolitical risk.
A growing risk premium and a higher bank forecast point to firmer crude prices, which would lift energy and transport costs for feed producers.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent hit its highest level since October 2025 after a fifth straight session of gains on Iranian protest risk, and Citi's higher forecast reinforced bullish sentiment within the 5-day window ending Jan 14.
It shows WTI at a near three-month high after five straight gains, leaving the market stretched and vulnerable to a sharp reversal and profit-taking once Iran-related risk faded.