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WTI settled at $73.45, reaching its highest level since November 2014 as U.S. sanctions threatened a large drop in Iranian crude exports. Unplanned outages in Canada, Libya and Venezuela also supported prices.
Sanctions-driven supply risk on top of existing outages keeps upward pressure on crude, which feeds through to energy and freight costs for feed buyers.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.