Loading…
European oil product markets jumped on Friday as Israel's overnight strikes on Iranian nuclear sites raised fears of Iranian crude supply shocks and Strait of Hormuz disruption. Low sulfur gasoil futures spiked to around $687/mt, and traders rushed to cover short positions.
Risk to Middle East crude and product flows lifts European gasoil and distillate prices, which tightens global diesel supply and supports higher fuel costs.
spglobal.comJun 13, 2025After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
European gasoil spiked as shorts were covered on Iran supply fears, transmitting to global diesel pricing.
European gasoil futures spiked and shorts covered on June 13, which lifted global diesel benchmarks and US prices through arbitrage linkage.
European oil products jumped on Hormuz disruption fears and short covering, reflecting the same shock in the crude complex.
Fears of Iranian crude supply shocks and Strait of Hormuz disruption lifted European products, reinforcing the crude supply-risk premium.
