Loading…
March WTI crude closed up 3.5% on January 29 and reached a 4.25-month high as President Trump warned Iran to make a nuclear deal or face military strikes. Trump said US ships in the Middle East were ready to act if talks failed.
Russia's stance on Ukraine peace talks also kept Russian crude restrictions in place.
Threat of strikes on a major OPEC producer and possible disruption to Strait of Hormuz flows raises crude and diesel costs, which feed into freight and processing expenses for feed buyers.
barchart.comRich AsplundJan 29, 2026After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
