
South Africa continues to report African swine fever outbreaks in domestic pigs, with four outbreak series ongoing since 2019 and 14 recent outbreaks in five regions. The country is also dealing with foot-and-mouth disease in cattle and highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry.
Ongoing disease pressure in South Africa mainly affects its own livestock sector and regional animal product exports. The effect on global feed prices is limited.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.