
South Africa has reported three new African swine fever outbreaks since late June, bringing its three-year total to 165 confirmed outbreaks and just over 63,000 pigs affected. Nigeria and Uganda have also registered new outbreaks, and Mexico is seeking international cooperation to help Haiti and protect the Americas' pork sector.
Continued ASF spread in Africa tightens pork trade restrictions and keeps regional pig supplies pressured, with limited direct effect on grain or meal prices.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.