
Reuters reports that rapid growth in U.S. renewable diesel processing capacity will draw heavily on soybean oil, the main feedstock. Biofuel already accounts for over 40% of U.S. soy oil demand, and that share is expected to rise as new plants start up.
Growing biofuel demand for soy oil tightens vegetable oil supply, supporting soybean oil prices and crush margins, which lifts meal output and feed-related byproduct supply.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.