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Valero expects the existing RIN credit bank could be depleted between late 2026 and mid-2027 as biomass-based diesel production falls short of compliance obligations. Imports may fill the gap more slowly because the blender tax credit expired and the 45Z credit favors domestic fuel.
Elevated D4 RIN values strengthen renewable diesel economics and support demand for domestic soybean oil and other fats and oils.
rfdtv.comTony St. JamesAug 26, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
