
Reuters reports USDA forecasts record soybean demand from processors and exporters this season, driven largely by strong global livestock and poultry feed needs. USDA's chief economist flagged food price concerns if expected renewable diesel demand for crops materializes.
ADM's CEO said renewable diesel could add about 500 million pounds of soyoil demand this year.
Expected biofuel demand for soyoil competes with food and feed uses and supports soybean and soyoil prices. Higher oilseed values also raise the cost of soybean meal inputs for feed buyers.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.