Renewable diesel producers face a shortage of animal fats and used cooking oil even as demand rises on US and Canadian incentives. Goldman Sachs expects production capacity to nearly quintuple over the next three years.
Strong renewable diesel demand competes with feed fats and oilseed-based feedstocks, supporting fat and vegetable oil prices. Tighter fat supply raises the cost of fat-based feed ingredients.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.