
EPA set record renewable fuel volumes for 2026 and 2027, with growth concentrated in biomass-based diesel and advanced fuels while conventional ethanol stays at 15 billion gallons. The final rule dropped proposed import RIN restrictions and reformed small refinery exemptions.
Record biomass-based diesel volumes increase vegetable oil feedstock demand, supporting soybean oil prices, while the dropped import restrictions keep feedstock imports available.
After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 547 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 439 past neutral policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.