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Fastmarkets reports EPA's Aug. 31 granting of 1.76 billion RINs in 2025 small refinery exemptions, with a proposal to reallocate 100% of the shortfall into 2026-2027 RVOs.
D4 RINs traded around 236 cents after the announcement, recovering from lows near 191-192 cents on Aug. 24.
Clearer RFS outlook supports RIN values and biofuel feedstock demand, which underpins soybean oil and related fats and oils prices.
fastmarkets.comSarah SchneiderSep 1, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
EPA's Aug 31 RFS clarity and D4 RIN recovery from ~191 to ~236 cents improved biodiesel/renewable diesel margins, supporting soybean oil demand.
EPA's Aug 31 small refinery exemption decision and RVO reallocation cut US biofuel policy uncertainty, lifting soyoil and spilling over to palm via vegetable oil substitution.
