Indonesia policy uncertainty hampers resumption of palm oil exports

After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jan 18, 2022Indonesia to require palm oil export permits | Reuters+2.6%
• Jul 16, 2022Indonesia removes palm oil export levy until Aug. 31 | Reuters+1.7%
• May 20, 2026Indonesia plan to centralise palm oil exports raises fears of supply disruption | Reuters-0.5%
• Mar 18, 2022Indonesia hikes palm oil export levy amid accusations of 'policy panic'-0.4%
• Nov 15, 2025Palm Oil Prices Seen Higher in Short Term Amid Policy Uncertainties in Indonesia – MPOC-0.6%

After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jul 16, 2022Indonesia removes palm oil export levy until Aug. 31 | Reuters-0.2%
• May 20, 2026Indonesia plan to centralise palm oil exports raises fears of supply disruption | Reuters-1.4%
• Mar 9, 2022Indonesia tightens palm oil export curbs in new hit to global supplies | Reuters-6.9%
• Apr 22, 2022Soyoil surges to record high as Indonesia bans palm oil exports+3.2%
• Apr 22, 2022Indonesia bans palm oil exports as global food inflation spikes+3.2%